The Clean Energy Regulator (the agency) engages consultants to analyse and model aspects of the Small-scale Renewable Energy Scheme (SRES), including:
The agency does not guarantee or accept any legal liability arising from or connected to, the accuracy, reliability, currency or completeness of any material contained in these reports.
The material in the reports does not necessarily reflect the views of the agency or indicate its commitment to a particular outcome or course of action. While the agency accepts the studies as opinions of these consultants, it recognises that there are many other opinions on the future uptake of small-scale renewables. The reports reflect STC numbers based on the scheme at the time.
Two consultants were engaged to estimate the number of STCs likely to be created in 2022, 2023 and 2024. The average of these estimates for each year in question is used to calculate the 2022 small-scale technology percentage (STP) and the 2023 and 2024 non-binding STPs.
The reports are based on data the Clean Energy Regulator gave to the consultants, current as at 16 November 2021.
The Clean Energy Regulator engaged a number of consultants in previous years to provide forward estimates of the number of STCs likely to be created in those years.
In May 2021, we engaged 3 consultants – Jacobs, Green Energy Markets (GEM) and GHD - to to model small-scale (0-100 kilowatts) and mid-scale (100 kilowatts to 30 megawatts) solar PV uptake over the 5 years from 2021 to 2025. This modelling is to help understand the PV market.
This modelling does not inform the STP and should be used as a guide only.
The final reports from Jacobs, Green Energy Markets (GEM) and GHD are available below:
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The Clean Energy Regulator is a Government body responsible for accelerating carbon abatement for Australia.