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Small-scale technology percentage modelling reports

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29 March 2018

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The Clean Energy Regulator has engaged qualified consultants to analyse and model aspects of the small-scale Renewable Energy Scheme, including:

  • reviewing the market for small-scale technology certificates
  • providing estimates of the number of small-scale technology certificates to be created in a relevant calendar​ year
  • identifying key factors affecting the type, number and size of small-scale systems installed
  • updating projections of small-scale certificate numbers, and
  • projecting the likely compositio​​n of renewable energy sources under the Small-scale Renewable Energy Scheme.

The Clean Energy Regulator does not guarantee, and accepts no legal liability arising from or connected to, the accuracy, reliability, currency or completeness of any material contained in these reports.

​The material in the reports does not necessarily reflect the views of the Clean Energy Regulator, or indicate its commitment to a particular outcome or course of action. While the Clean Energy Regulator accepts the studies as opinions of these consultants, the Clean Energy Regulator recognises there are many other opinions on future certificate numbers. The reports reflect certificate numbers based on the schemes at the time.

The reports are based on data provided by the Clean Energy Regulator to the consultants that is current to 31 December 2017.​

From 2017, the consultants also take into account the reduced deeming period​ under the Small-scale Rene​wable Energy Scheme.

Current year modelling reports

The Clean Energy Regulator engaged three consultants to provide forward estimates of the number of small-scale technology certificates likely to be created during the 2018 binding year and the 2019 and 2020 non-binding calendar years.

Previous year modelling reports

The Clean Energy Regulator engaged a number of consultants in previous years to provide forward estimates of the number of small-scale technology certificates likely to be created in those years.

Modelling for the 2017 and 2018-19 non-binding small-scale technology percentage

Modelling for the 2016 and 2017-18 non-binding small-scale technology percentage

Modelling for the 2015 binding and 2016-17 non-binding small-scale technology percentage

Modelling for the 2014 binding and 2015–2016 non-binding small-scale technology percentage

Modelling for the 2013 binding and 2014–2015 non-binding small-scale technology percentage

Modelling for 2013–2014 non-binding small-scale technology percentage

Modelling for 2012–2013 non-binding small-scale technology percentage

Modelling for 2011–2012​ non-binding small-scale technology percentage​

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